Water SlimesTier 2
at AMB Texas Regional
decks
1
(2.0% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
6
5-0-1
overall winrate
91.7%
ELO-adjusted winrate
56.8%
avg ELO +3.6 per match
expected value
57.3%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
51.1%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1461
· median 1461
· range 1461–1461
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1046
Q1 1191
Q3 1381
1607
100% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slimes | 12.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 52.4% | +3.8 |
| Water Penguin Mill | 12.2% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 45.9% | -6.5 |
| Wind Razorgale | 8.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 52.6% | +4.2 |
| Fire Aggro | 6.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Exia | 6.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Slimes | 6.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 6.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Allies | 6.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 6.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 51.9% | +3.0 |
| Fire Arcane | 4.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Mage | 4.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 56.7% | +10.7 |
| Water Allies | 4.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Lorraine | 4.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Astra Cleric | 2.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Merlin | 2.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Ravishing Mill | 2.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Tera Mage | 2.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 2.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 54.2% | +6.7 |
| Wind Slice & Dice | 2.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Water Slimes decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
